by Kristin Rowan, Editor

Government Shutdown Threatens Care at Home

Lawmakers on opposite sides of the aisle failed to come to a budget agreement by the deadline. This causes an immediate cease to all non-essential government functions and many government employees aren’t being paid. 

The Disagreement

Reporters and spokespoeople from both sides of the debate have suggested various reasons for the shutdown. Equally, both sides claim they are not the holdouts. What we do know for sure is that one of the primary points of contention is the continuation of subsidies for Affordable Care Act Marketplace Insurance plans. One group wants an extension written into the current budget while the other says it’s not necessary since the subsidies currently run through the end of the calendar year.

Push to Extend

The lawmakers who are pushing to get the subsidy issue resolved believe that marketplace users are not going to sign up for insurance in November and do it again in January when the subsidies are fixed. Instead, insurance commissioners warn that without the subsidies, many people will opt not to have insurance at all and others will select substandard plans based on affordability. They will be priced out of the plans they want without the subsidies in place.

Priced Out

In 2025, even with the subsidies, the average family was paying $800 per month on health insurance through the marketplace. When the subsidies expire, those same families will see their existing plan rates jump to $3,000 per month. KFF, the nonpartisan health research organization, estimates that most users will have a 114% rate increase. 

Government Shutdown

Photo Credit – The New York Times

Counter

According to ND insurance commissioner Jon Godfread, lawmakers who oppose the subsidies are actually opposing the cost of health care and insurance across the board. They insist the subsidies aren’t necessary if healthcare and insurance costs drop instead. Proponents of the subsidies agree, but say that is a longer discussion that will take a lot of time to resolve and the subsidies provide an immediate solution to a bigger problem. They are urging the holdouts to include the subsidies in the budget and tackle the rising cost of healthcare later.

Open Enrollment

The clock is ticking. Open enrollment for 2026 begins November first in every state except Idaho, where open enrollment starts next week. Insurers have already locked in their 2026 premium rates, which will likely cause sticker shock for most marketplace users. Most insurers have prepared subsidy and non-subsidy rates, but without the extension, we will only see the much higher non-subsidy rates. These rates are unlikely to change before enrollment starts and the only hope for marketplace buyers is for Congress to extend the subsidies.

Home Health & Hospice

Care at Home Impact

There are several ways in which the shutdown and the loss of the subsidy may impact care at home.

Payment delays are the most pressing risk. Government officials have promised no delay for some essential services like SNAP and WIC. It is likely Medicare and Medicaid payments will be delayed. While those payments will come through eventually, care at home agencies have to operate without payment or hope the

payers will process payments locally while waiting on the government to reopen. The longer the shutdown lasts, the more likely it is that payments will be delayed. The 6th Senate budget vote failed today, sending the shutdown to day 8.

The longer term impact for care at home will come if the subsidies are not renewed. If insurance rates increase by more than 100% on November 1, users will opt for lower priced coverage, which may no longer include care at home benefits. Fewer patients seeking care at home means less money for agencies. Long-term, it also means higher hospital and ER usage and costs, which increases government spending and usually leads to additional care at home cuts to offset the costs.

National Alliance for Care at Home has identifed current and potential implications of the shutdown. Read their analysis here.

This is an ongoing story and we will continue to provide additional information as it happens. 

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Kristin Rowan, Editor
Kristin Rowan, Editor

Kristin Rowan has been working at The Rowan Report since 2008. She is the owner and Editor-in-chief of The Rowan Report, the industry’s most trusted source for care at home news, and speaker on Artificial Intelligence and Lone Worker Safety and state and national conferences.

She also runs Girard Marketing Group, a multi-faceted boutique marketing firm specializing in content creation, social media management, and event marketing.  Connect with Kristin directly kristin@girardmarketinggroup.com or www.girardmarketinggroup.com

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